Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000699 0.000800 0.000908 0.001031 0.001166 0.001310 0.001475
2025-01-26 0.000553 0.000697 0.000859 0.001057 0.001287 0.001548 0.001861
2025-02-02 0.000475 0.000637 0.000831 0.001075 0.001371 0.001717 0.002147
2025-02-09 0.000399 0.000569 0.000780 0.001057 0.001406 0.001824 0.002358
2025-02-16 0.000338 0.000510 0.000732 0.001034 0.001425 0.001906 0.002535
2025-02-23 0.000302 0.000479 0.000715 0.001046 0.001486 0.002039 0.002775
2025-03-02 0.000270 0.000450 0.000698 0.001055 0.001539 0.002161 0.003003
2025-03-09 0.000231 0.000405 0.000655 0.001023 0.001536 0.002208 0.003134
2025-03-16 0.000197 0.000365 0.000614 0.000991 0.001530 0.002248 0.003254
2025-03-23 0.000177 0.000342 0.000595 0.000990 0.001563 0.002339 0.003442
2025-03-30 0.000159 0.000322 0.000580 0.000989 0.001597 0.002433 0.003634
2025-04-06 0.000141 0.000299 0.000557 0.000978 0.001613 0.002500 0.003791
2025-04-13 0.000123 0.000275 0.000531 0.000960 0.001619 0.002555 0.003934
2025-04-20 0.000115 0.000268 0.000532 0.000982 0.001686 0.002697 0.004201
2025-04-27 0.000106 0.000259 0.000530 0.001000 0.001746 0.002829 0.004456
2025-05-04 0.000093 0.000240 0.000507 0.000983 0.001752 0.002883 0.004602
2025-05-11 0.000081 0.000220 0.000483 0.000961 0.001748 0.002921 0.004724
2025-05-18 0.000075 0.000212 0.000479 0.000973 0.001797 0.003039 0.004963
2025-05-25 0.000069 0.000204 0.000473 0.000981 0.001839 0.003147 0.005190
2025-06-01 0.000059 0.000185 0.000446 0.000951 0.001820 0.003160 0.005277
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000168 0.000420 0.000921 0.001798 0.003169 0.005356
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000159 0.000411 0.000919 0.001822 0.003249 0.005543
2025-06-22 0.000041 0.000151 0.000402 0.000919 0.001850 0.003334 0.005738